The wild discussion in the Georgian parliament could bring very serious problems to Moscow. Someone offered to pull out from the Commonwealth of Independent States, to withdraw Russian military bases from Georgia. It was even suggested Georgia should put an end to diplomatic relations with Russia, to withdraw the Georgian ambassador from Moscow.
Luckily, Georgian deputies struck out the paragraph concerning the break up of diplomatic relations. Other paragraphs remained valid. We have to mention here that the opinion of the deputies differed a lot from the one of the president, but its not a surprising thing anyway. Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze said to the deputies that he had already sent his ideas and thoughts to Vladimir Putin. Shevardnadze offered not to hurry things up: “The letter was short-spoken, but it was filled up with thoughts.” Shevardnadze has not received an answer from Putin yet, but it is likely to follow soon.
The withdrawal of Russian peacemakers from Georgia will disturb the balance of forces in the unstable region. The unrecognized republic of Abkhazia will lose control, as well as Georgian guerrillas. Everybody will be willing to participate in the turmoil, including Mujahideens. Secondly, if Georgia pulls out from the Commonwealth of Independent States, Georgia will experience serious economic an political consequences. Georgia’s debt to Russia is huge, so the ambitions of local politicians do not really suit the situation. Georgia depends on Russia’s gas, and if Russia cuts its gas from Georgia, then Shevardnadze will be ruined. Neither Turkey, nor America will save him. He definitely realizes that, that is why he offered not to hurry things up.
However, yielding to Moscow implies damage to the image of Georgia. Something has to be said. Therefore, Shevardnadze released a statement, in which he claimed that Georgian ABM system would down Russian aircraft. We wonder, where those ABM systems are, because Georgia does not have its army, actually. Maybe they will do it with terrorists’ Stinger missiles?
Furthermore, the Georgian president is playing his game of militarist generals and ignorant president. Putin allegedly knew nothing of the bombing and stuff. Shevardnadze kills two birds with one stone at that. He splits the presidential milieu and gives the ill presentation of Putin. Shevardnadze stated: “It is hard to imagine that Putin knew of the plans to bomb Georgia, that he approved the murder of innocent people.”
Well, what is going to happen next? Russian politicians do not hurry to make their conclusions. Yet, they offer the presidents of the two countries to meet and discuss everything personally. Let’s see, what Putin has to say on the subject.